Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ruben Costers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Peng Joon (Unknown)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Oh Oh (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
66th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
6.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Round 11: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Caronchia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Unknown)
Round 14: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YUTO NIIDA (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Domonkos Ács (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Holland (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sergio Nieto Becerra (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.