Briar, Warden of Thorns
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Liam Canning (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Julius Otte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Konstantinos Gkoumas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Unknown)
Round 7: Win vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
45th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs João Gomes (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Tariq Patel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)
Round 7: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
53rd • 3-6-0
56%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs David Palomino (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Unknown)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Teo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Michel Beaumont (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs damien herlin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Altair G. Sánchez (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Andres Dorogan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kenneth Punnerud (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Stephen McKeever (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Derek Chiu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ferran Riu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Seb Ball (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Antoine Pech (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mikko Airaksinen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Simon Otterburg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 76:24
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Yost (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Ayneto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Jari Vincke (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Unknown)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Unknown)
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Davide Giacca (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Fuad Omar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Kok Bin Ng (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Nikolaus Schnelle (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Curtis (Unknown)
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.