Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Barcelona

Kano, Dracai of Aether

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Peter Buddensiek

49th • 4-5-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Paul Mirande (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Henrik McQuoid Jespersen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Digl Dixon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Henri Schlüter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim McCarthy

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Brian Mc Donagh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Unknown)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Simon Otterburg

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Valentin Varga (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Henning Beywl (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Piotr Przyczyna

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.