Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

23 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Julius Otte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Viserai, Rune Blood
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Julia Happel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Lexi, Livewire
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Lexi, Livewire
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Jude Fisher (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
40th 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sam OByrne (Unknown)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Simon Denning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ferran Riu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Viserai, Rune Blood
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
dropped 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Rich (Unknown)
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Dromai, Ash Artist
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tariq Patel (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Lexi, Livewire
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Juha-Antti Kurttila (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
52nd 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Lexi, Livewire
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Strachan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Katsu, the Wanderer
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.9
Diff
Viserai, Rune Blood
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Lee (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs David Lee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Robert Szura (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Unknown)
dropped 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Max Löhe (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Hills (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Paul Mirande (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Robert Bednarz (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Römisch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Michel Beaumont (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Lexi, Livewire
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
dropped 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Karl-Emil Drenck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Seb Ball (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Fisher (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Denning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs André Cardoso (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Finn Labe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Armin Soleimanpor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Lexi, Livewire
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Josep Giné (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Özcan Kayalar (Unknown)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Seb Ball (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Briar, Warden of Thorns
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Szura (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
!!
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Brian Mc Donagh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ronja Kieffer (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kok Bin Ng (Unknown)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Paulo Sherring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Lexi, Livewire
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
dropped 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Kolbrun Palsdottir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Eric Severs (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Konstantinos Gkoumas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Lexi, Livewire
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Unknown)
Katsu, the Wanderer
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Frédéric St-Laurent (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Ojamaa (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Carles Torres (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
0.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs panagiotis ntemiris (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.