Chane, Bound by Shadow
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
42nd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Wünsche (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Aron Trausti (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Max Löhe (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs João Vieira (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34
Round 7: Loss vs Jude Fisher (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jared Wyce (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Punnerud (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Rob Catton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Curtis (Unknown)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szura (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Aloysius Goh (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Ian Holland (Unknown)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs giannis papanikolas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Fuad Omar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joyce Bugnard (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Konstantinos Gkoumas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Unknown)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs David Tham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Christian Poffet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Henning Beywl (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Pawel Urbaniak (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Draw vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Henning Beywl (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Unknown)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.