Battle Hardened: Barcelona - Iyslander, Stormbind (LL)

Iyslander, Stormbind

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ville Schalin

28th • 6-3-0

22%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 51:49

25:75

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Christian Franco (Unknown)

30:70

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Rob Catton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Jude Fisher (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

30:70

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Austin Yost (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.46
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.12
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.28
R9	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Luigi Fontana

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Aron Trausti (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

25:75

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.86
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.15
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Shou Miyahara

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

75:25

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 72:28

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Timo Cullmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

75:25

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs giannis papanikolas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 72:28

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

25:75

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.28	0.09
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.28	0.28
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Mikko Airaksinen

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Jankowski (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.