Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Barcelona

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Fuad Omar

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Armin Soleimanpor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs See Atlantis (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Mikael GARCIA (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.74
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.99
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vasilis Kirlis

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Robert Bednarz (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.87
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Christian Poffet

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Yost (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Francesc Bosch (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Bergesen

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Josep Giné (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.