Battle Hardened: Barcelona - Prism, Awakener of Sol (LL)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Fuad Omar

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Armin Soleimanpor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73

35:65

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs See Atlantis (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Mikael GARCIA (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.63
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.83
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vasilis Kirlis

dropped • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs David Calf (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

25:75

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Robert Bednarz (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.27
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Christian Poffet

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Yost (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)

35:65

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Francesc Bosch (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Bergesen

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Josep Giné (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.