Dash I/O at National Championship 2026

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jakub Schneider

2nd • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matúš Martinko (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lukas Surzin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Richard Kollár (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matúš Martinko (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.13
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.01
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.08
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Teo Matuška

12th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lukáš Püspöki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marek Murko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.73
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Jakub Dzúr

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcela Známová (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Marcela Známová

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Dzúr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.