Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lukas Surzin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Matúš Martinko (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Katrenčin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Schneider (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.