Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

1st 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
Zyggy Starlight
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Pleiades, Superstar
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniela Šidová (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teo Matuška (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christian Katrenčin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Zyggy Starlight
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jakub Schneider (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dáša Petríková (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lukáš Püspöki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.