National Championship 2026 - Slovakia - Zyggy Starlight (CC)

Zyggy Starlight

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Viliam Kubik

3rd • 4-1-0

60%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dáša Petríková (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Leo Matuška (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lukáš Püspöki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.22
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.30
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Lukas Surzin

11th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Schneider (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dáša Petríková (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Viktoria Tankinova

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Konig (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.