National Championship 2026 - Cyprus - Fai, Rising Rebellion (CC)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ioannis Makrygiannis

5th • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Orfanidis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.19
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Christos Iosifidis

5th • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pavlos Georgiou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bersun Manavoğlu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Afxentis Vafeiadis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dimitris Orfanidis

17th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christos Zisimos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yiannis Bero (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.34
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.