Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2026 - Cyprus
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bersun Manavoğlu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Petros Rousos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christos Iosifidis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.