
Zyggy Starlight
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
6.1
Diff
Round 8: Win vs Afxentis Vafeiadis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Mike Knvs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.