FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Theodosis Pafitis
7th • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christos Iosifidis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yiannis Bero (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
Giannis Koumidis
13th • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bersun Manavoğlu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timotheos Chrysanthou (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.