National Championship 2026 - Romania - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrei Sebastian Suciu

1st • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Chirulescu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexandru Ungureanu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Vlad Margarit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.00
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.13

Andrei Joghiu

5th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrei Leucuta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.56
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andor Galfi

16th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vlad Ciobotea (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Frangopol (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Robert Munceanu

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan Pitrop (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Edoardo Pinna (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Vlad Ciobotea

25th • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andor Galfi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandru Ion (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandru Guțalov (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.