National Championship 2026 - Romania - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kolleck Adrian

27th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vlad Margarit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandru Ion (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Alexandru Sirbu

28th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Dragne (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Klara Pinna (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.09

Edoardo Pinna

30th • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vlad Margarit (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Munceanu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Traian Costea (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.