FaB-Results

Rhinar at Showdown: Auckland 2026

Rhinar

Rhinar

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Manuel Solomon
2nd • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Drew (Unknown)
Fai
!!
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jay Haskett (Fai) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Blaze, Firemind
80:20
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 78:22
Oldhim
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Lee Mackley (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Briar
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Briar) - Expected: 18:82
Fai
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Fai) - Expected: 18:82
Fai
!!
20:80
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Fai) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Oldhim
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Lee Mackley (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Briar
20:80
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Briar) - Expected: 18:82
Braiden Burne
36th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Briar
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Apanui (Briar) - Expected: 18:82
Aurora
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Kent (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Dromai
100:0
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Esme Hulbert-Putt (Dromai) - Expected: 100:0
Fai
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Jay Haskett (Fai) - Expected: 18:82
Briar
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Deanna Packwood (Briar) - Expected: 18:82
Dromai
100:0
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Cameron White (Dromai) - Expected: 100:0

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.