Valda Brightaxe
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Nick Tiller (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Loss vs Arnel Gancenia (Fai) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Broten (Briar) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Strom (Briar) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Negrillo (Dromai) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.