Showdown: San Diego 2026 - Nuu (SAGE)

Nuu

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ynez Nevarez

39th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Will Stubbs (Kayo) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lui (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs David Lewis (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Perez (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Emerson Miller (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Millar (Fai) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.36
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Henry Gomez

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jared Del Rosario (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dan Meadors (Fai) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Carlo Cuenca

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.