Fai at Battle Hardened: Columbus 2026
Fai
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs David Cleveland (Kayo) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Grimm (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs David Stolze (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Roberts (Rhinar) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.