Olympia at Battle Hardened: Columbus 2026
Olympia
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Meadows (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs AVERY LARRICK (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.