Enigma
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs John Milner (Azalea) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Grimm (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Pelley (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Matt Muus (Chane) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano) - Expected: 57:43
100:0
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Cody Williams (Oldhim) - Expected: 98:2
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Michael Godfrey (Chane) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Chane | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 100% | Win |
| R7 | Chane | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.