FaB-Results
Valda Brightaxe

Valda Brightaxe

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nathan Youngblut
18th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Iyslander
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Jian Botor (Iyslander) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Crimson Haze
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57
Ira, Crimson Haze
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Kyle WKL (Briar) - Expected: 49:51
Valda Brightaxe
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Rhinar
!!
70:30
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Rhinar) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Khoi Dinh
23rd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Briar
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle WKL (Briar) - Expected: 49:51
Oldhim
!
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Wilson Cheung (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Ira, Crimson Haze
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57
Briar
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Adam Romano (Briar) - Expected: 49:51
Valda Brightaxe
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dorinthea
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Salazar (Dorinthea) - Expected: 18:82

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.