Rhinar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Chane) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs CYK Lionel (Chane) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs erwin leung (Oldhim) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
95:5
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Bentley Tse (Dromai) - Expected: 95:5
Round 5: Win vs Kyle WKL (Briar) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.