Dromai at Battle Hardened: Hong Kong 2025
Dromai
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs ricky leung (Briar) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Wilson Cheung (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.