Dorinthea at Battle Hardened: Hong Kong 2025
Dorinthea
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Adam Romano (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs ricky leung (Briar) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.