Rhinar at Battle Hardened: Seattle 2025
Rhinar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Sean Elliott (Briar) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Baughn (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick R (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Scott Khuu (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Oldhim) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Terra | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.