Dorinthea at Battle Hardened: Valencia 2025
Dorinthea
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Lazar (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
85:15
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 84:16
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Paolo Auria (Briar) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 85% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.