Viserai, Rune Blood at Battle Hardened: Baltimore 2025
Viserai, Rune Blood
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
75%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Bowie (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Violet Dold (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Coburn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Darren Rennie ()
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Aymen Kabel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Yiou Liu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mara Faris (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Coburn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Coburn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
25th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Hamilton Summer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Dustin Harris (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
18th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Flook (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hudson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
37th • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs chris schipiour (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Dustin Harris (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Andy truong (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Tatiana Parada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.