Briar, Warden of Thorns
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Frederick Hefer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Josh Perry (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Adams (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
16th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Coburn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs David Dredge (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Kellen Smallwood (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
26th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs chris schipiour (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Violet Dold (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hudson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
23rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Tatiana Parada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Yiou Liu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
29th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aymen Kabel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Biros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kellen Smallwood (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Frederick Hefer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Frederick Hefer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.