Bravo, Star of the Show
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Theodore Tan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 80:20
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Noah Biros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 40% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Murray (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Mara Faris (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 40% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andy truong (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Biros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Frederick Hefer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
21st • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Craig Krempels (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
30th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Perry (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Yiou Liu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Bowie (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Draw vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Andy truong (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Frederick Hefer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.