Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Franche Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Baar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Logel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.