Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light at Battle Hardened: Los Angeles

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Austin Redington

9th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Shin Inoue (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Josh Lind (Unknown)

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Pheano Black (Unknown)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chu Heng Eng

15th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Feilicity Clark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Unknown)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.34
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jesus Cuevas

16th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 79:21

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Shin Inoue (Unknown)

45:55

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Unknown)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.15
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.86
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Gui Cohen

17th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Justin Addington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Gary White (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.11
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.29

Nick Rutkowski

42nd • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Unknown)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Tristen Farmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Chris Waugh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Emily Froese

47th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Rogue Theory (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Unknown)

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Kern (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Unknown)

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jared Wyce

50th • 0-6-1

43%

Meta

-3.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Marissa Tan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 41:59

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Unknown)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Unknown)

45:55

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Koosha Jahani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 34:66

R7 LL

Round 7: Draw vs Dung (Yung) Le (Unknown)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

SEAN STELL

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Unknown)

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Justin Addington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Unknown)

45:55

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Justin Addington

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Mike Williams (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

100:0

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Dean Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 100:0

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.21
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

James Cæruleus Silver

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Unknown)

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Kieth Seith

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Unknown)

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.