Lexi, Livewire at Battle Hardened: Los Angeles

Lexi, Livewire

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brodie Spurlock

2nd • 8-2-0

50%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

5.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Michael Dalton (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Unknown)

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Unknown)

40:60

R9 LL

Round 9: Win vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R10 LL

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.68
R5	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.82
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.23
R10	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Gordon Koh Koh

3rd • 7-2-0

56%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.4

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Unknown)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Koosha Jahani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Josh Lind (Unknown)

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs CYK Lionel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.55
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.32
R8	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.22
R9	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Easton Douglas

20th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Norah Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Unknown)

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Chris Kern (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Unknown)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Raj Parikh (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.97
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.98
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tony Mapelli

25th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Sadat Minick (Unknown)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Porter Jones (Unknown)

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Nick Rutkowski (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Matt Muus (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.59
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.71
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dyllon Dietz

36th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Michael Dalton (Unknown)

40:60

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Unknown)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)

30:70

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.70

Koosha Jahani

38th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Gavin Nord (Unknown)

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Jared Wyce (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Chris Waugh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.59
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.46
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.70

Feilicity Clark

48th • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Unknown)

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Unknown)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Dean Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Chris Kern (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Evan Herndon

dropped • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Unknown)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Yuanji Li (Unknown)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Unknown)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Fee Sen Sei

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Marissa Tan (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Reeve Chia (Unknown)

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.23
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Guillem Las Heras

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Unknown)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Unknown)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.34
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas Preyer

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Yuanji Li (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Raj Parikh (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Pheano Black (Unknown)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Unknown)

40:60

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jacob Clements

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Gregory Cole (Unknown)

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Norah Porter

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Kieth Seith (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Paul White

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Unknown)

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Joe Santianna (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 57:43

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Antony Benedetti

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Unknown)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mercy Bickell

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Unknown)

40:60

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.