Iyslander, Stormbind at Battle Hardened: Los Angeles

Iyslander, Stormbind

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niels Kornerup

14th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.6

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Michel Corvino (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Unknown)

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Corey Baker (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Alex Tyler (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Unknown)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Reeve Chia (Unknown)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.22
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ed Bracamontes

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Unknown)

20:80

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 21:79

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Gregory Cole (Unknown)

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Chris Kern (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.25
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joe Santianna

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Unknown)

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Paul White (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Feilicity Clark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Natalie Edwards (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Corey Baker (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.