Iyslander, Stormbind at Battle Hardened: Los Angeles

Iyslander, Stormbind

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niels Kornerup

14th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Michel Corvino (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Corey Baker (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Alex Tyler (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Unknown)

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Reeve Chia (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ed Bracamontes

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Unknown)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Gregory Cole (Unknown)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Chris Kern (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joe Santianna

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Unknown)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Paul White (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Feilicity Clark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Natalie Edwards (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Corey Baker (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Chris Waugh (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.