National Championship 2025 - Romania - Verdance, Thorn of the Rose (CC)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vulpe Razvan

5th • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Klara Pinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bogdan Popa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Munceanu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.31
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Andrei Joghiu

dropped • 2-0-1

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robert Munceanu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vlad Margarit (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-

Robert Munceanu

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kis-Gall David (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.41

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.