National Championship 2025 - Romania - Azalea, Ace in the Hole (CC)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexandru Hristache

5th • 3-1-0

25%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Frangopol (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zsombor Vagasi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.69
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.16
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Adrian Frangopol

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexandru Hristache (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Klara Pinna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Munceanu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Alexandru Cucereanu

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan Popa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Szórádi Gergő Tamás (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.94
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.