Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Onica Lucian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 69:31

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandra-Gabriela Frangopol (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandru Hristache (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.18
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.73
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Prism, Awakener of Sol

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vlad Margarit (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.46
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.