Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christos Zisimos

3rd • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Konstantinos Kofteros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexandros Gavriilidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.29
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.32
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Nicolas Kyriakou

3rd • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Panayiotis Charalambous (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christos Zisimos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.11
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.16
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

CHRISTOS GYPSIOTIS

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Charilaos Spanoudis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandros Gavriilidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pavlos Georgiou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.