Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christos Zisimos

3rd • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Konstantinos Kofteros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexandros Gavriilidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.32
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.52
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.32
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Nicolas Kyriakou

3rd • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Panayiotis Charalambous (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christos Zisimos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.88
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

CHRISTOS GYPSIOTIS

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Charilaos Spanoudis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandros Gavriilidis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pavlos Georgiou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.