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1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 6-0-0
100%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandros Modestou (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theodosis Pafitis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Lazarides (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Konstantinos Kofteros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christos Zisimos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicolas Lazarides (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.