FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2025 - Cyprus

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nicolas Lazarides
2nd • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Deck
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pavlos Georgiou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dimitris Orfanidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mike Knvs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Bersun Manavoğlu
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Deck
Dash I/O
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Konstantinos Kofteros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandros Modestou (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.