National Championship 2025 - Cyprus - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Afxentis Vafeiadis

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ioannis Makrygiannis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Papadopoulos (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Orfanidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ioannis Makrygiannis

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Afxentis Vafeiadis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mike Knvs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Dimitris Orfanidis

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Timotheos Chrysanthou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Lazarides (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Afxentis Vafeiadis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.