Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dimitris Orfanidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pavlos Georgiou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Charilaos Spanoudis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.