Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025 - Cyprus
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bersun Manavoğlu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Theodosis Pafitis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicolas Kyriakou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.