World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Indonesia - Verdance (Blitz)

Verdance

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Muhamad Agus Suriyanto

2nd • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Hanov (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Katsu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.87
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Blitz	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adi Guna Sodikin

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

70:30

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Stevano Raphael (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Sugianto (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R3	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anditya Tornando

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ezequiel Emeraldo

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Verdance) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Irsan Halim (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.