Dash, Database at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Dash, Database

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nugroho Haryoputro

5th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ezequiel Emeraldo (Verdance) - Expected: 70:30

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

70:30

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Isuardi Therianto (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Ricky Lianto (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.09
R2	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.34
R5	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arif Ardiningrum

15th • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Andersen (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Hans Kristian (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Michael Julianto (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

70:30

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Katsu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Verdance	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rama Wirakusuma

18th • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.