Florian at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Indonesia
Florian
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Stevano Raphael (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Romanos Defiano (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Bhismantara Candra (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs David Soetrisno (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Advent of Thrones | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Database | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Advent of Thrones | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Advent of Thrones | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.