World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Indonesia - Cindra (Blitz)

Cindra

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bhismantara Candra

3rd • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ricky Lianto (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Willy Felim (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Abdurrahman Putra (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

15:85

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Setiawan (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.22
R7	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Sugianto

19th • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Hans Kristian (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

15:85

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Willy Felim (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Putu Swantara

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.