Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

1st 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mai Dao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lại Thành (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tien Dat (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Minh Hoàng Nguyễn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 51:49
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nguyễn Tuấn (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quang Duong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manh Hien Nguyen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.